CongressLine by GalleryWatch.com: Tempering European Enthusiasm
By Paul Jenks, Published on February 12, 2007
[Note: This article seeks to inform European observers of the U.S. Congress.]
The new Congress, organized now by the Democrats, leads many to believe that the
previously strained relationship between the U.S. and Europe will improve. The
Democrats' position, particularly on the Iraq situation, is much more closely in
line with the European position. European optimism for a new European friendly
United States as the result of a Democratic led Congress appears, however, to be
overly optimistic. The new Congress can be expected to perhaps curb American
global adventures, but a transformation of the relationship across the Atlantic
is unlikely.
The role Congress plays in foreign affairs requires some tempering of any
enthusiasm as well. The President still holds the primary responsibility for
foreign relations and trade policy. Plus, many of the issues relevant to both
the U.S. and Europe, outside of Iraq, have broad agreement on both sides of the
aisle in Congress. The list of issues of common interest ranging from Chinese
trade and currency issues to Lebanon do not pose any new influences on the Bush
administration from Congress. A few issues do, however, hold some possibilities.
The new Democratic committee leadership features some very seasoned veterans.
The House Committee on Foreign
Relations is now led by Rep Tom
Lantos (D-CA), a European refugee from World War II who is a strong
supporter of human rights issues. Lantos has also been a strong supporter of the
Albanian Kosovo majority and he has already reintroduced a measure he submitted
last year calling for independence for Kosovo.
The
Europe Subcommittee of the House Committee on Foreign Relations is now
chaired by Rep Robert Wexler. The
Florida Democrat has signaled his interest in strengthening NATO. Wexler is a
strong supporter of improving NATO's relationship with Israel. Hearings are also
scheduled on the anti-Semitism and xenophobia in Europe.
On the powerful tax and trade oriented
House Ways and Means Committee, Rep
Charles Rangel (D-NY) has taken over as chairman, with the
Trade subcommittee
led by Rep. Sandy Levin (D-MI). Their
primary influence will be on trade policy, particularly determining whether
Congress will renew the "Fast
Track" trade treaty procedures in Congress. Fast Track provides for Congress
to consider a trade agreement without amendments. It is generally considered
necessary for any trade negotiations as Congressional amendments provide a great
disincentive to negotiate an agreement in the first place. Free trade agreements
are due for consideration later in the year, but the Fast Track authority must
first be renewed. At a recent hearing on trade globalization, there were
suggestions made for pursuing free trade agreements with Japan and Europe.
However, it is worth noting that no members of the Ways and Means Committee
itself made these suggestions.
Fast Track authority for trade issues is a contentious issue for Democrats. A
part of the reason for the Democratic sweep in 2006 was their arguing against
the numerous free trade agreements already in place. The job loss effects of
globalized trade are a very prominent feature in most Democratic campaigns.
Chairman Rangel has also been quite vocal about labor and environmental
provisions in these agreements. Fast Track authority extension is a possibility,
but passage of any new trade agreements appears difficult. Rangel noted
recently: "I think it's realistic enough to believe that the presidential
elections may take away the opportunity for this committee to come up with a
bipartisan approach to trade, which of course would include the unions, the
trade organizations, as well as the administration."
The other key trade issue that enjoys more widespread support is the recovery of
the World Trade Organization -
Doha talks for
trade liberalization world-wide. The U.S. and Europe feature prominently in
these talks particularly in regard to their agricultural subsidies. The
President has already signaled his intent in his
new budget
for Fiscal Year 2008 to reduce agricultural subsidies. Congress will also be
considering a new Farm Bill, authorizing agricultural programs this year. This
unique convergence of a Farm Bill and movement in reducing farm subsidies in the
United States - something that would not have been considered likely just a few
years ago - perhaps could provide a significant impetus for US and European
agreement on the issue.
Peter
Mendelson, the EU Trade Commissioner, noted when he visited Washington in
January that Democrats appear to support a breakthrough in the Doha
negotiations.
One trade issue that provides a major irritant to U.S. European (and also
Canadian) interests is the
Byrd
Amendment. The Byrd Amendment, approved years ago, provides for anti-dumping
duties charged by the United States to be distributed to the US producers
affected by the foreign dumping. The WTO has ruled against this unusual practice
and has allowed sanctioned tariffs on U.S. goods. The Byrd Amendment is a
typically American (unilateral) attempt to address the bad aspects of globalized
trade. Senator Robert Byrd is the most
senior Democrat in the Senate and is Chairman of the powerful
Senate Appropriations Committee.
Any changes to this would appear unlikely.
In the Senate, Senator Joseph Biden is
now the Chairman of the Senate
Committee on Foreign Relations. Biden, who just announced his candidacy for
the Democratic nomination for President, could be the one key player in Congress
who may be more sensitive to election year focused topics. U.S.-European issues
probably will not figure high on his radar, while potent electoral issues such
as Iraq Iran will. This could mean that the affairs of the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee could be a lightning rod for election topics. The Iraq issue
is the preeminent foreign policy issue in Congress and this appears to dwarf any
other issue, particularly in relation to Europe.
Optimism for a European oriented Congress was tempered even before the new
Congress convened. Democrats in Congress were instrumental in scuttling a new
U.S.-European aviation agreement that would have provided foreign owners of U.S.
airlines greater control over an airline's operation. This is a good example for
illustrating how Congress works. Every Congressperson and Senator has a local
constituency and that constituency usually trumps any national party philosophy.
Airlines are based in Democratic districts, as are
Microsoft and
Boeing. European regulation of Microsoft or
subsidies for Airbus, a subject relevant to
Boeing can, as a result, cut both ways in Congress. U.S. home town interests
usually win.
The new Democratic Congressional majority has scored one major shift in U.S.
policy by the Bush Administration.
Global Warming now is a central topic in Congress. The Democratic majority
and new positions of the Bush Administration has dramatically change debate on
this topic. The
Kyoto Treaty was stalled in the Senate by both Democratic and Republican
majorities during the Clinton Administration and Bush withdrew the treaty from
consideration. This issue has now come full circle with a Democratic Congress
pushing a Republican President this time. Whether this convergence will be in
tune with more global efforts espoused by Europeans (Kyoto-like efforts) or
merely with national policy changes such as subsidies for ethanol remains to be
seen. The Americans appear to be definitely moving in the same direction on this
topic as Europe.
The United States has traditionally looked to the United Kingdom first when it
comes to Europe. This has been true as much for Presidents as it has for
Congress. British Prime
Minister Tony Blair's support for the Iraq War has tempered Democratic
opinions on the United Kingdom's role in U.S.-European relations. This
tempering, however, does not appear to be any radical shift towards some other
European country, but does provide an interesting backdrop to a Democratic
Congress' view of European issues. Prime Minister Blair's replacement will be
keenly watched by Congress.
Outside of the Iraq War, which split Europe as well as the United States
Congress, European and US interests are hardly on the rocks. Even during the
height of tensions immediately after the Iraq invasion, European and U.S.
interests continued to be quite closely linked. The new Congress has already
shown to be a tempering factor on some issues for the Bush Administration. It
does not appear that it will be an overwhelmingly European friendly Congress
however. Divergent political and local interests always limit Congresses attempt
to speak with one voice.
